{
  "status": "Illustrative assumptions, not offers or forecasts",
  "date": "2026-10-18",
  "currency": "IDR",
  "confidence_percent": 40,
  "launch_price_once": 499000,
  "care_price_month": 299000,
  "human_hour_shadow_cost": 150000,
  "marginal_platform_allocation_month": 45000,
  "collection_reserve_fraction": 0.03,
  "support_minutes_scenarios": [15, 30, 120],
  "acquisition_cash_per_cohort": 2000000,
  "acquisition_founder_hours_per_cohort": 12,
  "acquisition_paid_pilots_per_cohort": 4,
  "validation_budget_first_30_days": 10000000,
  "salary_included_in_validation_budget": false,
  "notes": [
    "All numbers are unvalidated author assumptions dated 18 October 2026, not market benchmarks.",
    "Care contribution includes shadow labor and excludes fixed costs, taxes, refunds and acquisition; it is not net profit or cash gross margin.",
    "Customer provider bills are excluded from Nokumi revenue and costs in this model.",
    "The 3% collection reserve is a modeling allowance, not a gateway quote.",
    "Marginal platform allocation excludes fixed Claude Code/Codex subscriptions; do not double count allocated labor against a future payroll model.",
    "The acquisition example assumes all four paid pilots also choose Care; retention is unknown, so payback is conditional and no LTV is asserted.",
    "Launch scope and its delivery cost need measurement; setup revenue is excluded from recurring contribution and acquisition payback."
  ]
}
